# How many U.S. metropolitan areas will have Tesla robotaxi service on August 31, 2026?

<table class="pythia-summary">
<tr><th>Forecast at</th><td>2026-07-21 00:25 UTC</td></tr>
<tr><th>Source</th><td>Metaculus AI Benchmark tournament</td></tr>
<tr><th>Engine</th><td>ensemble</td></tr>
<tr><th>Five or fewer</th><td>51.0%</td></tr>
<tr><th>Seven or more</th><td>26.5%</td></tr>
<tr><th>Six</th><td>22.4%</td></tr>
</table>

*This forecast was generated by the Pythia ensemble and submitted to the [Metaculus AI Benchmark](https://www.metaculus.com/aib/) tournament. [View the question on Metaculus](https://www.metaculus.com/questions/44646/).*