# Pam Bondi out as Attorney General by March 31?

<table class="pythia-summary">
<tr><th>Predicted at</th><td>2026-02-16 07:26 UTC</td></tr>
<tr><th>Prediction</th><td><strong>0.8%</strong></td></tr>
<tr><th>Market (at prediction)</th><td>10.4%</td></tr>
<tr><th>Market (live)</th><td><span class="pythia-live-price" data-token-id="112277018542457497906709513629144449218108985837834601940262880390290578924675">—</span></td></tr>
</table>

## Analysis

The historical base rate for an Attorney General departing within the first few months of a presidential term is effectively zero. While recent hearings have generated public controversy and calls for resignation from some political figures, the primary indicator of job security remains the explicit public support of the President. On February 12, 2026, the President publicly praised the Attorney General's performance, reinforcing the administration's pattern of defending loyalists against external criticism. Given this strong executive backing, the likelihood of a departure before the end of March remains extremely low. The current evidence suggests that political pressure has not yet outweighed the President's stated commitment to his appointee.

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