# Will Jessica Steinmann be the Republican Nominee for TX-08?

<table class="pythia-summary">
<tr><th>Predicted at</th><td>2026-02-16 05:28 UTC</td></tr>
<tr><th>Prediction</th><td><strong>90.0%</strong></td></tr>
<tr><th>Market (at prediction)</th><td>74.5%</td></tr>
<tr><th>Market (live)</th><td><span class="pythia-live-price" data-token-id="34384669740505192665198360259239369955288948608682817985383144050479799770267">—</span></td></tr>
</table>

## Analysis

The TX-08 Republican primary is an open-seat contest following the retirement of incumbent Morgan Luttrell. Jessica Steinmann has secured a broad coalition of endorsements, including support from the outgoing representative and prominent Texas officials. The Cook Political Report characterizes the race as one that is effectively hers to lose, reflecting her status as the prohibitive frontrunner. Historical base rates for open-seat Republican primaries in safe districts suggest that candidates with such significant institutional backing and early consolidation of support are highly likely to secure the nomination.

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