# Will NVIDIA (NVDA) beat quarterly earnings?

<table class="pythia-summary">
<tr><th>Predicted at</th><td>2026-02-16 06:44 UTC</td></tr>
<tr><th>Prediction</th><td><strong>98.6%</strong></td></tr>
<tr><th>Market (at prediction)</th><td>93.0%</td></tr>
<tr><th>Market (live)</th><td><span class="pythia-live-price" data-token-id="89574082517578274954002983111098093121150932378524836711515364028749819685136">—</span></td></tr>
</table>

## Analysis

NVIDIA has consistently exceeded earnings per share estimates for eight consecutive quarters, establishing a strong historical pattern of performance. When compared to broader market trends, the company significantly outperforms the typical 74% beat rate observed among S&P 500 firms. Furthermore, the semiconductor and high-growth technology sector maintains a historical beat rate of 80%, providing a relevant benchmark for evaluating current expectations. While market expectations remain elevated, the company's sustained history of exceeding guidance serves as the primary analytical basis for this outlook. This assessment balances the company's specific historical performance against the broader context of sector-wide earnings trends.

---

[View on Polymarket](https://polymarket.com/event/nvda-quarterly-earnings-nongaap-eps-02-25-2026-1pt52)