# Will Ryan Gosling attend the Oscars?

<table class="pythia-summary">
<tr><th>Predicted at</th><td>2026-02-16 07:33 UTC</td></tr>
<tr><th>Prediction</th><td><strong>18.7%</strong></td></tr>
<tr><th>Market (at prediction)</th><td>28.0%</td></tr>
<tr><th>Market (live)</th><td><span class="pythia-live-price" data-token-id="95912969421989358830381677155886045780061975166459118683341950699646383358957">—</span></td></tr>
</table>

## Analysis

The primary factor influencing this forecast is that Ryan Gosling did not receive a nomination for the 98th Academy Awards. While historical data shows that 90-95% of acting nominees typically attend the ceremony, this base rate does not apply to individuals who are not competing for an award. Without a nomination for his work in Project Hail Mary, there is no professional obligation or standard expectation for his presence at the event. Consequently, the likelihood of attendance is significantly lower than that of a nominated performer.

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