# Will the NYC nurses strike end by February 28, 2026?

<table class="pythia-summary">
<tr><th>Predicted at</th><td>2026-02-16 06:50 UTC</td></tr>
<tr><th>Prediction</th><td><strong>46.5%</strong></td></tr>
<tr><th>Market (at prediction)</th><td>75.4%</td></tr>
<tr><th>Market (live)</th><td><span class="pythia-live-price" data-token-id="63700143378856062001005158477839800311928152366992871170854211629479825186735">—</span></td></tr>
</table>

## Analysis

The resolution of this market depends on the conclusion of labor disputes across three specific hospital systems in New York City. While nurses at Montefiore and Mount Sinai have ratified agreements and returned to work as of mid-February, the status of the remaining hospital system remains the primary variable for the final outcome. Historical data on large-scale nursing strikes indicates that while many labor actions are resolved within a few days, complex negotiations involving multiple systems can occasionally extend for several weeks. Given that the strike must conclude at all three locations to satisfy the market condition, the timeline for the final agreement is the critical factor. Current evidence suggests that the majority of the involved workforce has already resumed operations, narrowing the scope of the remaining dispute.

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