# Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the March 2026 meeting?

<table class="pythia-summary">
<tr><th>Predicted at</th><td>2026-02-16 03:34 UTC</td></tr>
<tr><th>Prediction</th><td><strong>98.9%</strong></td></tr>
<tr><th>Market (at prediction)</th><td>92.5%</td></tr>
<tr><th>Market (live)</th><td><span class="pythia-live-price" data-token-id="102559817034631022221500208641784929295731053857601013029449249654006364919935">—</span></td></tr>
</table>

## Analysis

This is a strong consensus. The only downside risks identified are weak (two dissents in January, potential data surprises, black swan events). The slight disagreement is about how much tail risk to assign to unexpected shocks, not about the fundamental direction. The evidence is strong and specific but it's already fully priced in. No informational advantage exists here.

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