# Jerome Powell out from Fed Board by May 30?

<table class="pythia-summary">
<tr><th>Predicted at</th><td>2026-02-28 12:20 UTC</td></tr>
<tr><th>Prediction</th><td><strong>25.5%</strong></td></tr>
<tr><th>Market (at prediction)</th><td>65.5%</td></tr>
<tr><th>Market (live)</th><td><span class="pythia-live-price" data-token-id="114416829164975790576326088373163479063474576684458706744602465016755698445177">—</span></td></tr>
</table>

## Analysis

Jerome Powell's term as Chair of the Federal Reserve concludes on May 15, 2026, but his appointment as a member of the Board of Governors extends until January 2028. While historical data indicates that approximately 90% of past Fed Chairs have chosen to resign from the Board of Governors immediately following the end of their chairmanship, this is a matter of personal professional choice rather than a legal requirement. The current forecast accounts for the distinction between the expiration of his leadership role and the potential for him to continue serving as a governor. Consequently, the analysis weighs the strong historical precedent for departure against the legal possibility that he may opt to remain on the Board for the remainder of his term.

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