# Will the Republicans win the Wyoming Senate race in 2026?

<table class="pythia-summary">
<tr><th>Predicted at</th><td>2026-03-02 00:06 UTC</td></tr>
<tr><th>Prediction</th><td><strong>99.4%</strong></td></tr>
<tr><th>Market (at prediction)</th><td>91.5%</td></tr>
<tr><th>Market (live)</th><td><span class="pythia-live-price" data-token-id="79928077180713102609948647660034580156932658823394290272651325523866637424642">—</span></td></tr>
</table>

## Analysis

The historical record for U.S. Senate elections in Wyoming demonstrates a consistent pattern of Republican success, with the party winning every contest held over the past 50 years. This represents a streak of 18 consecutive victories, reflecting the state's status as one of the most reliably Republican jurisdictions in the country. When analyzing similar Senate races in deep-red states, the base rate of Republican victory remains exceptionally high. Given the stability of these electoral outcomes over several decades, the historical data serves as a primary indicator for future expectations in this specific contest.

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